Biden is still bookmakers' choice to be elected, but Trump’s winning odds decreased to +170. New election trends
- This year the USA Presidential Election occurs on 3rd of November
- Odds on Donald Trump’s winning change every day
- Due to various researches the chance that Joe Biden will win is about 90%
There is less than a week left until this year's presidential election, and so far predictions are disappointing for Donald Trump. Bookmakers choose Joe Biden, odds on his victory are now -207.
Odds on 2020 US Presidential Election Contenders
- Joe Biden -207
- Donald Trump +170
Odds Have Changed
Odds for the 2020 elections are very unstable, especially in recent weeks. Odds on Joe Biden to win ranged from -166 to -221, while on Trump from +184 to +139. And although all bookmakers consider the former US vice president a favorite in this presidential race, Americans are still ready for unexpected results, as in 2016, when Trump won.
Polls Show Biden is a Favorite
Until 2016, people usually trusted the polls before the election, but now there are many doubts about their accuracy. According to them, Joe Biden may not even care about future results, as polls show that he leads by 8 points.
Generally the situation is very favorable for Joe Biden. He leads by 3.8 points in swing states. Moreover, he is a favorite in many states that were usually pro-Republican. He is expected to win in Georgia. There will be a serious fight in Texas, because there is no firm favorite. If Trump does not win in these states, the outcome of the election will be obvious.
What about the Polls Accuracy?
And don't forget the concept of "silent majority". Polls don't always have to be trusted. For example, most Trump supporters don't express their opinions, hide them from friends, so it is obvious that Trump's chances are bigger than the polls show.
But there is another good indicator for Joe Biden. Early voting is more popular in 2020 than during the previous elections and most people supported the Democrats.
What’s The Best Bet?
Judging by the odds, Biden is a firm favorite and leader. Is it worth betting on his victory? If you trust FiveThirtyEight, who are experts in their field, Biden's chances are almost 90%.
If you rely on the polls , then of course make a wager on Joe Biden. But if after the previous election you are afraid of inaccurate polls, then betting on Trump's victory may be very profitable.