Copa Sudamericana — Tips and bets

Ultimately, this is a tie that is far from over and if anything, Tolima are still probably slightl favourites to advance. Man for man, they are a touch stronger than Argentinos on paper and with the crowd behind them, they should be able to put the visitors under pressure and try to mount a comeback.

All things considered, backing a home win looks the best way to play as far as the betting is concerned and is exactly where our money is going. Tolima are unbeaten in 6 continental home games overall and that’s a sequence we can see them prolonging, with a 1-0 margin of victory that would force penalties looking on the cards.

Ultimately, this is a tie that can safely be considered all but over. Corinthians are by far a stronger side than Lara and that’s more than apparent from the first leg and the two games between the two last year in the Copa Libertadores, which the Brazilians won 2-0 and 7-2 respectively.

All things considered, backing an away win looks the best way to play as far as the betting is concerned and is exactly where our money is going. Lara are losing consistently to far weaker opponents than the one they face here and we believe Corinthians can run out winners once again, this time via a 1-0 margin.

Ultimately, though they are a goal down, Independiente are still big favourites to win the tie and should have more than enough to come back against a Rionegro outfit that hasn’t won a single away game in their last 15 attempts. The hosts cannot afford to slip up, given the backlash they will receive if they do so and thus, they will arrive fully motivated to turn the tie around.

All things considered, we can’t look beyond Independiente and feel that backing them on the -1 handicap looks to provide good value. It’s one thing for Rionegro to beat them on their own patch, but the Colombians aren’t likely to have the resolves needed to hang on and we think the hosts will run out 2-0 winners. Independiente have won 5 of their last 6 Copa Sudamericana home ties by more than a single goal and that’s a streak that should continue here.

Ultimately, this is a tie that is far from over and Caracas have every chance of coming back. Man for man, there’s not a huge amount between the two, as the close first leg showed, but with home advantage, Caracas will be hopeful of making a comeback.

All things considered, we like the look of backing a home win here and feel it provides the best value as far as the betting is concerned. Caracas are quite a powerful home outfit, Liverpool aren’t the best of travellers and that leads us to believe that the hosts will run out 1-0 winners; meaning the tie would have to be settled from the spot.

In the 1st leg, La Equidad who trailed 0-1 all the way from the 7th minute came back strongly in the 2nd half. After tons and tons of attacks, they finally found the equaliser in the 80th minute, was given a penalty in the 89th minute but missed it, never gave up and netted the dramatic winner in injury time. Being the strong favourites in the 2nd leg, La Equidad should win this match.

La Equidad to win.

Ultimately, anything other than a Colon win on Tuesday is very hard to imagine and the hosts should be able to easily avoid slipping up. River are a far weaker side than them and are extremely poor on the road, so the hosts have to be fancied to advance comfortably.

All things considered, backing a Colon win to nil looks the best way to play as far as the betting is concerned and is exactly where our money is going. Not only have River lost 6 of their last 7 away games, but they’ve failed to score in all but one of said defeats and with that in mind, a 2-0 margin of home victory could well be on the cards.

Home won recently against visitors. Unbeaten at home so far. Away team no win in 13 matches

• Easy win for botofogo
• 1-0 or 2-0
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