Copa Sudamericana — Tips and bets

Copa Sudamericana: tournament table

1 CSD Macara 4 2 2 0 6:3 8

2 Cienciano 4 2 1 1 4:4 7

3 Sao Paulo SP 4 2 2 0 3:0 8

4 San Lorenzo 4 1 3 0 4:2 6

5 Botafogo 4 3 1 0 9:4 10

6 Torque 4 3 0 1 5:2 9

7 Vasco da Gama 4 2 1 1 6:3 7

8 River Plate 4 3 1 0 5:2 10

9 America de Cali 4 2 1 1 5:4 7

10 Academia Puerto Cabello 4 2 0 2 5:7 6

11 O'Higgins 4 2 1 1 4:2 7

12 Deportivo Cuenca 4 1 2 1 1:2 5

13 Caracas FC 4 2 2 0 6:4 8

14 Grêmio 4 2 1 1 4:1 7

15 Olimpia 4 2 1 1 4:4 7

16 Carabobo FC 4 2 0 2 4:3 6

17 Tigre 4 1 2 1 5:4 5

18 Juventud 4 1 2 1 8:5 5

19 Millonarios 4 2 1 1 5:4 7

20 CD Recoleta 4 0 4 0 3:3 4

21 Racing Club 4 1 1 2 7:7 4

22 Deportivo Riestra 4 1 1 2 2:5 4

23 Audax Italiano 4 1 1 2 4:6 4

24 Bragantino 4 2 0 2 9:4 6

25 Alianza Atletico 4 0 1 3 2:7 1

26 Atlético Mineiro 4 1 1 2 5:6 4

27 Boston River 4 0 0 4 2:8 0

28 Santos 4 0 3 1 3:4 3

29 Independiente 4 0 0 4 3:10 0

30 Palestino 4 0 2 2 0:3 2

31 Barracas Central 4 0 3 1 2:3 3

32 Blooming 4 0 1 3 3:12 1

Tips

Under 1.5 Goals • 2.46

Ultimately, this is a tie that is far from over and if anything, Tolima are still probably slightl favourites to advance. Man for man, they are a touch stronger than Argentinos on paper and with the crowd behind them, they should be able to put the visitors under pressure and try to mount a comeback.

All things considered, backing a home win looks the best way to play as far as the betting is concerned and is exactly where our money is going. Tolima are unbeaten in 6 continental home games overall and that’s a sequence we can see them prolonging, with a 1-0 margin of victory that would force penalties looking on the cards.

Corinthians Win • 2.1

Ultimately, this is a tie that can safely be considered all but over. Corinthians are by far a stronger side than Lara and that’s more than apparent from the first leg and the two games between the two last year in the Copa Libertadores, which the Brazilians won 2-0 and 7-2 respectively.

All things considered, backing an away win looks the best way to play as far as the betting is concerned and is exactly where our money is going. Lara are losing consistently to far weaker opponents than the one they face here and we believe Corinthians can run out winners once again, this time via a 1-0 margin.

Deportes Tolima Win • 1.76

Thursday’s Copa Sudamericana second round, second leg action sees Colombians Deportes Tolima doing battle with Argentinos Juniors. All is certainly still to play for, with the visitors bringing a narrow 1-0 lead to the Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro.

After dropping out of a Copa Libertadores group containing Boca Juniors, Athletico PR and Jorge Wilstermann despite picking up a respectable 8 points, Deportes Tolima had hoped for better luck now that they’re in the Sudamericana. Nonetheless, a 1-0 defeat in Buenos Aires leaves them with work to do if they are to advance from the tie, but the side will still fancy their chances.

Overall, Tolima have looked a solid outfit so far in 2019. They advanced to the play-off stage of the opening phase of their domestic top flight and are currently top of their group within it, so confidence can be pretty high coming into the game. They’ve also remained unbeaten in 3 continental home games this year, beating Athletico PR and drawing with Boca in the process, results that suggest they have every chance of getting the job done on Thursday.

Indeed, Argentinos Juniors’ name does not carry the same weight as the sides mentioned and though the Argentines will be happy to have established a lead in the first leg, they’ll know they have a huge amount of work left to do to see it through, given how slender it is.

Argentinos aren’t a particularly powerful outfit, finishing 26th in the Superliga Argentina but they have at least improved in recent weeks, reaching the semi-finals of the Copa de la Superliga. Nonetheless, said feat could actually be their downfall for this game, as they arrive tired to Colombian soil, having lost an intense two legged affair with Boca prior to making the gruelling trip to Ibague.

Independiente Win • 1.25

Ultimately, though they are a goal down, Independiente are still big favourites to win the tie and should have more than enough to come back against a Rionegro outfit that hasn’t won a single away game in their last 15 attempts. The hosts cannot afford to slip up, given the backlash they will receive if they do so and thus, they will arrive fully motivated to turn the tie around.

All things considered, we can’t look beyond Independiente and feel that backing them on the -1 handicap looks to provide good value. It’s one thing for Rionegro to beat them on their own patch, but the Colombians aren’t likely to have the resolves needed to hang on and we think the hosts will run out 2-0 winners. Independiente have won 5 of their last 6 Copa Sudamericana home ties by more than a single goal and that’s a streak that should continue here.

Caracas Win • 1.75

Ultimately, this is a tie that is far from over and Caracas have every chance of coming back. Man for man, there’s not a huge amount between the two, as the close first leg showed, but with home advantage, Caracas will be hopeful of making a comeback.

All things considered, we like the look of backing a home win here and feel it provides the best value as far as the betting is concerned. Caracas are quite a powerful home outfit, Liverpool aren’t the best of travellers and that leads us to believe that the hosts will run out 1-0 winners; meaning the tie would have to be settled from the spot.

La Equidad Win • 1.48

In the 1st leg, La Equidad who trailed 0-1 all the way from the 7th minute came back strongly in the 2nd half. After tons and tons of attacks, they finally found the equaliser in the 80th minute, was given a penalty in the 89th minute but missed it, never gave up and netted the dramatic winner in injury time. Being the strong favourites in the 2nd leg, La Equidad should win this match.

La Equidad to win.

Colón Win • 1.45

Ultimately, anything other than a Colon win on Tuesday is very hard to imagine and the hosts should be able to easily avoid slipping up. River are a far weaker side than them and are extremely poor on the road, so the hosts have to be fancied to advance comfortably.

All things considered, backing a Colon win to nil looks the best way to play as far as the betting is concerned and is exactly where our money is going. Not only have River lost 6 of their last 7 away games, but they’ve failed to score in all but one of said defeats and with that in mind, a 2-0 margin of home victory could well be on the cards.

Ceará Win • 1.82

Ceara is a good team. Some statistics:

- Last game between these two teams was interesting. Ceara won 3:1

- Willstermann won only 1 game in last 5

- Ceara is at the first position now

Wanderers Win • 1.93

Home won recently against visitors. Unbeaten at home so far. Away team no win in 13 matches

Botafogo Win • 1.65

• Easy win for botofogo
• 1-0 or 2-0
• cantona kye (Facebook)
• fixed info

Melgar Win • 2.17

Catolica have already qualified and will rest some players

Draw • 4.333

Because they have good players and good formation

Over 2.5 Goals • 1.88

Over 1 Goals • 1.87

LDU Quito Win • 1.87

Over 2.5 Goals • 1.85

Over 2.5 Goals • 1.84

Both Teams To Score - Yes • 1.83

Over 0.5 Goals • 1.81

Both Teams To Score - Yes • 1.81

Over 2.5 Goals • 1.8

Handicap Sportivo Luqueño (2) • 1.79

Under 4.5 Goals • 1.79

Both Teams To Score - Yes • 1.79

Both Teams To Score - Yes • 1.78

Universitario Win • 1.78

Peñarol or Draw • 1.78

Liverpool or Draw • 1.77

Over 2.5 Goals • 1.76

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Copa Sudamericana — Tips and bets

Copa Sudamericana: tournament table

Tips