Gimnàstic Tarragona
Line-up
- 1Becerra, Isaac
- 22Abraham Minero
- 21Noguera, Fabian
- 24Djetei
- 33Salvador Ferrer
- 6Marquez, Javi
- 18Antonio Cotán
- 14Palanca Fernandez, Miguel
- 30Pol Prats
- 32Montero, Sergio
- 8I. Uche
- 38Sergi Cardona
- 23Pol Valentín
- 27Sun Yipeng
Subs
- 13Barragan, Bernabe
- 5Thioune, Ousseynou
- 39Bernat Guiu
- 26Suarez, Luis
CD Lugo
Line-up
- 13Alberto Varó
- 17O. Lebedenko
- 3Gerard Valentín
- 20Jose Carlos
- 14H. Menosse
- 5Pita, Carlos
- 19Muniz, Juan
- 8Seoane, Fernando
- 33Rey, Alejandro
- 9Toni Martínez
- 7Cristian
- 10Antonio Campillo
- 21Gil, Sergio
- 12Manu Barreiro
Subs
- 1Juan Carlos
- 22Campabadal, Edu
- 15Ruiz, Luis
- 32Escobar, Anton
However, while the visitors aren’t the easiest side to get the better of, their overall numbers make them tough to fancy in the betting. Not only have Lugo scored just 0.65 goals on average away from home this season, but they also average just 0.7 expected goals for. In contrast, Gimnastic average 1.26. What’s more, the hosts have surrendered an average of just 1.0 expected goals at home, while Lugo have given up an average of 1.43 on the road.
Add in the fact that the hosts come into this game having scored five in their last two at home, couple it with the fact that Lugo are without a goal in two on the road, and it’s becomes very easy to make a case for a home win. Frankly, Gimnastic’s home efforts, especially in the final third, outweigh Lugo’s antics on the road, so much so that the home win looks more likely than the current prices suggest.