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Atalanta were on course to secure Champions League football for next season with a win against Juventus last weekend. However, they conceded late on to draw 1-1.
Champions League qualification is still in their own hands for next season. They need to match, or better, the results either of the Milan clubs to be sure of finishing in the top 4.
Sassuolo have certainly looked like a different team at home, having picked up 58% of their points and 63% of their goals at their own stadium. Worryingly, they’re a little more open here – conceding just 42% of their goals so far on the road. Even looking a little deeper we can see the difference location makes for Sassuolo. They’ve averaged three more shots per game at home than away, while their shot conversion rate is just 8% on the road. However, they’ve also conceded 14% of the shots they’ve faced at home, having gifted more opportunities to opponents at the MAPEI.
Atalanta are another side who have a very different record on the road. They’ve averaged more goals per game on their travels, having scored 41 times in 18 trips so far. They’ve also conceded more on the road, while they have one of Italy’s strongest away records. They come into this game following a 6-2 demolition of Sassuolo at this ground earlier in the season. La Dea have also scored 14 times in their last six trips to this stadium to face Sassuolo. Overall we expect goals here, so both teams to score is our pick.