1
Spain
21
2
France
22
3
England
20
4
Turkey
17
5
Albania
15
6
Belgium
20
7
Hungary
18
8
Denmark
22
9
Romania
22
10
Portugal
30
11
Scotland
17
12
Netherlands
18
13
Italy
14
14
Croatia
16
15
Czechia
15
16
Austria
19
17
Serbia
14
18
Slovenia
22
19
Switzerland
17
20
Slovakia
22
21
Norway
11
22
Greece
13
23
Ukraine
14
24
Wales
12
25
Poland
11
26
Sweden
10
27
Montenegro
11
28
Finland
18
29
Israel
15
30
Luxembourg
17
31
Georgia
8
32
Republic of Ireland
6
33
FYR Macedonia
8
34
Armenia
8
35
Moldova
10
36
Azerbaijan
7
37
Lithuania
6
38
Kazakhstan
18
39
Belarus
12
40
Iceland
10
41
Cyprus
0
42
Gibraltar
0
43
Malta
0
44
Latvia
3
45
Faroe Islands
2
46
Estonia
1
47
Bulgaria
4
48
Northern Ireland
9
49
Kosovo
11
50
Bosnia and Herzegovina
9
51
San Marino
0
52
Andorra
2
53
Liechtenstein
0
Gibraltar provides Friday’s hosts with the perfect opportunity to get off the mark.
Not only have Georgia lost each of their first two qualifiers, but their performances have been very displeasing. Against Switzerland on match-day one, the Georgians failed to get involved offensively, as they mustered just a single shot on target and accumulated only 0.38 expected goals for. In contrast, they shipped eight shots on target and conceded 2.36 expected goals. They did do better when losing 1-0 against Ireland, though their attacking efforts were still weak, as they clocked just 0.58 expected goals for. They surrendered 1.16 on that occasion.
Fortunately, Georgia performed well at home against lowly opposition during the UEFA Nations league, as they won three out of three on their own patch, beating Latvia, Andorra and Kazakhstan, averaging 2.0 goals for and 1.36 expected goals for. They conceded an average of just 0.33 goals and 0.62 expected goals. Such numbers bode well ahead of a match against Gibraltar.
Gibraltar may have only lost by a goal to nil at home to Ireland in their only previous EURO 2020 qualifier, but they were slightly flattered by the result, as they clocked only 0.61 expected goals for and conceded 1.9.
As well as failing to get seriously involved against Ireland in their most recent competitive game, Gibraltar were poor on the road in the UEFA Nations League. They did beat Armenia away from home, though they lost against both North Macedonia and Liechtenstein, conceding six goas and scoring none in the process.
On their travels in the Nations League, Gibraltar surrendered an average of 2.16 expected goals, while they averaged just 0.57 for. They also conceded a rather worrying average of 27 shots, whilst averaging only 5.67 at the other end.
From a betting point of view, ‘Georgia -3 Asian Handicap’ stands out. For all the hosts haven’t thrived in EURO qualifying, their home efforts against lesser sides in the Nations League suggest that they can really get at Gibraltar, who found it very tough to keep teams at bay when playing away from home in that competition.