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The away side Valencia are used to close games, with just 32% of their matches this season seeing over 2.5 goals scored. They’ve seen less than three goals in 64% of their away trips, thanks to their lack of goals on the road. They meet a Betis side who have seen four straight games with fewer than three goals in each. Under 2.5 has landed in five of Valencia’s last seven away trips in this competition, along with three of their last four meetings with Betis. With that in mind, under 2.5 goals looks like a good bet on what is set to be a tense encounter.
Real Betis are in the top six, only four points shy of the Champions League spots. They’re on course for European football next term, but adding a cup final on top of that would cap off a fine campaign. The issue for the hosts is that the decisive second leg is away from home, so they need to get out in front with a result against Valencia this week. The hosts have built up some momentum with a three-game winning run at their own ground, including their weekend success against Atletico Madrid.
While the visitors scored twice last weekend, they aren’t typically attacking going forward on their travels. They come here having scored just 0.9 goals per game on the road so far. That should offer Betis the chance to build on their 1-0 win over Atletico. Edging out a top side in that manner should boost the hosts’ confidence, while they already have a strong home record this season. We can see them grabbing a similar result when these two meet, especially with semi-final pressure dominating the build-up to this encounter.