Leeds United vs Derby County tips

History seems to point to Leeds getting out of this clash with the required result. The team finishing third in the Championship haven’t lost the home leg of the play-off semi-final since 2009-10, when Nottingham Forest lost 3-4 to Blackpool – third-place teams have won seven of their eight home legs since then (W7 D1 L0). Leeds are expected to keep that streak rolling, especially after a solid season at home. Their home record was only bettered by the top two, who each picked up just three points more at home than Bielsa’s men.

Derby’s away record was ranked ninth in the league overall, as they won just two clashes at sides above them. They were beaten home and away by Leeds in the regular season, which has set them up to make it four from four at Elland Road. At home to sides below them this season Leeds have won 14, drawn four and lost three. We expect them to follow that up by beating a Derby side who just can’t seem to get to grips with Bielsa’s approach. We think the hosts are well priced to wrap up a victory, while we’re tipping a 2-0 home win.