When Brazil click in attack, they’re a brilliantly balanced team. They are able to keep the ball when they need, the only quality they miss is the cutting edge up top. They showed that in a 5-0 win over a hapless Peru side in the group stage, but Brazil do struggle against teams who pack the defence. Given that Paraguay restricted Argentina and Colombia to a single goal, we have faith in their defence here. I see the outsiders keeping the score down, while I don’t expect Paraguay to be the side to break Brazil’s resolve. With that in mind, I'm backing the hosts to win with under 3.5 goals in the game.