With the home team has kept 6 clean sheet in their home games and won 2 goal in 4 of their last 8 matches with under 2.5 goals in 12 of their 13 games for them to concede more than 1 goal is very slim
On the other hand Neman has conceded only 9 goals and scored 12 away and are unbeaten 6 of the 7 away games and are on a run of 5 wins in 6 away games.
They have 73% under 3.5 goals in their away games
They have to qualify for Europe league so a win is a better result for them