Arsenal Tula vs Zenit tips

Today in Russia the match between Arsenal Tula - Zenit.
Immediately it should be said that the match will take place at a temperature of -7 degrees. These are very inconvenient conditions for a football match. Quality can not be high.
I think that at a negative temperatures, matches often play a total under.
In this case, Zenit isn't impressive for its quality football, but at the expense of the class of football players gain points.
In terms of xG indicators:
Arsenal Tula: goals scored 19, xG - 16; missed goals - 20, xGa - 15.
Zenit: goals scored 22, xG - 19; goals conceded - 9, xGa - 10.5.
Tula doesn't have good luck, but in the distance of the tournament the figures should be evened out. Should miss fewer goals. And slaughtered more than they should.
Zenith has a smooth performance.
And on xP. Zenit scored 34 points, but the xP index - 27. Explicit break through points.

There will be boring football, Zenith will dry the game. I admit that there will be a draw and total under

Зенит на голову сильнее по составу, так ли будет по игре увидим. Упорная борьба, мало голов, но все же класс должен взять своё!

Zenith in good form