Please, try again later
Athletico Madrid has their henchman, D. Costa has a minor surgery recently but ATM has another solid replacement for him.
They have recorded several draws but at home, I expect them to pocket their guest with a modicum of effort.
Do expect a serious attack from Diego Simeone's boys from the blast of the whistle!
14 games into the season, Alaves surprisingly remain in the top four and they’d leapfrog Atletico Madrid into 3rd place.
Alaves are still huge underdogs. They’ve done brilliantly so far but their success has largely come via nicking games here and there rather than outclassing opponents. They’ve created just 1.07 expected goals this term to their opponents’ 1.41. However in terms of actual goals, they’ve scored 1.35 to their opponents’ 1.07 which suggests they’ve ridden their luck at times.
Atletico Madrid are another team to have scored more and conceded less than the respective expected goals stats. However they’ve been doing that kind of thing for so long now, that it’s impossible to simply attribute that to good fortune. They have some defensive injury concerns but they have enough strength in depth to keep Alaves quiet here. Atletico certainly have enough quality to force the breakthrough eventually and with an average of 2.43 points per home game, there’s not much wrong with their form at the Wanda, where they’ve won 8 of their last 9 in all competitions. This fixture is usually low-scoring, with all of the last 10 meetings producing under 2.5 goals and backing Atletico Madrid and under 2.5 goals looks good here.