Atalanta - Genoa - Tips by users and experts on football, 11 May 2019: Italy. Serie A

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Atalanta Win • 1.6

Atalanta have won three games in a row and they are unbeaten in their last 10. Now their closest rivals Roma and Milan sit three points back and the Bergamasca can widen the gap as they play before everybody else.
Genoa obtained a useful point against Roma last week, but Empoli's victory has brought them closer to the bottom three. They start the gameweek four points clear of the relegation zone and are winless in seven straight league matches.
This game will not be played in Atalanta's stadium, which is getting rebuilt, but in Reggio Emilia instead. This means Atalanta might not have the same support they would in Bergamo, but they are the second best team on the road in Serie A this season so that might not matter much.

Atalanta Win • 1.6

Atalanta are determined to book their place in the Champions League. The Orobici have been in a splendid form of late and thanks to a 3-1 victory over Lazio they moved one step closer to securing a top-four finish. Over the years Atalanta have turned their Stadio Atleti Azzurri d’Italia into a real fortress and despite the fact that Genoa sit in the danger zone in the Serie A standings, we believe that there is a big value in betting on the hosts.

The Rossoblu’s top flight status is in great danger. The Rossoblu failed to win previous six league fixtures and seeing that Saturday’s clash is of big importance for the hosts, we predict that the visitors are going to return home empty-handed. In their last meeting in Bergamo Atalanta recorded a 3-1 win over Genoa and we believe that the history is going to repeat itself.

Atalanta Win • 1.6

Genoa head here with some fears of relegation, sitting just four points clear of the drop zone. They’ve fallen dramatically into the mix for the bottom three, which has come thanks to a seven-game winless run. The fact that they have one of the poorest away records in the division is also key, as the visitors have lost 10 of their 17 trips in Serie A this term. That run includes seven defeats to top half sides from nine clashes, while they’ve failed to win away to any of the sides above them in the table.

Atalanta have been made the favourites for this clash, which comes thanks to their remarkable season in front of goal. Another three strikes at Lazio has once again made them the top scoring side in the league, while only four sides have scored fewer goals than Genoa this term. The visitors also have one of the worst defensive records in Serie A, so they’re unlikely to hold out in this trip.

We see Atalanta picking up a win, while it should be a comfortable victory. They head into this game with a four-match winning streak behind them. The hosts have managed to win by at least two goals in 75% of their home victories in Serie A, while Genoa have lost by two or more in over half of their away defeats. We expect the visitors to suffer another heavy loss after conceding 16 times across their last six meetings with la Dea. That has us backing Atalanta to continue their high scoring ways by winning this clash with a -1 handicap.

Atalanta Win • 1.54

• Atalanta far too strong
• Home advantage
• weak opposition (small risk)
• Atalanta need a win and expect one today
• Atalanta will win today

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