1
Spain
21
2
France
22
3
England
20
4
Turkey
17
5
Albania
15
6
Belgium
20
7
Hungary
18
8
Denmark
22
9
Romania
22
10
Portugal
30
11
Scotland
17
12
Netherlands
18
13
Italy
14
14
Croatia
16
15
Czechia
15
16
Austria
19
17
Serbia
14
18
Slovenia
22
19
Switzerland
17
20
Slovakia
22
21
Norway
11
22
Greece
13
23
Ukraine
14
24
Wales
12
25
Poland
11
26
Sweden
10
27
Montenegro
11
28
Finland
18
29
Israel
15
30
Luxembourg
17
31
Georgia
8
32
Republic of Ireland
6
33
FYR Macedonia
8
34
Armenia
8
35
Moldova
10
36
Azerbaijan
7
37
Lithuania
6
38
Kazakhstan
18
39
Belarus
12
40
Iceland
10
41
Cyprus
0
42
Gibraltar
0
43
Malta
0
44
Latvia
3
45
Faroe Islands
2
46
Estonia
1
47
Bulgaria
4
48
Northern Ireland
9
49
Kosovo
11
50
Bosnia and Herzegovina
9
51
San Marino
0
52
Andorra
2
53
Liechtenstein
0
Bulgaria’s efforts in Kosovo weren’t amazing, they did avoid defeat, while their overall efforts on the road during the UEFA Nations League were reasonably encouraging. Their three travelling games in that competition yielded a win, a draw and a loss. Such a string of results is far from impressive, but it’s not too bad either, while their underlying numbers were respectable, as they averaged 1.47 expected goals for and conceded and average of 0.94.
If we consider how Czech Republic performed at home during the Nations League in relation to how Bulgaria performed on the road in the same competition, then it’s not at all difficult to make a case for the visitors in the betting.
Given that none of their recent performances have been pleasing, the Czech’s look somewhat overpriced ahead of Friday’s clash. In contrast, there appears to be plenty of juice in the price of the visitors. Quite simply, when we take everything into consideration, Bulgaria look to have a great chance of winning than the current odds suggest, so supporting the travelling side is easy to do.