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Portsmouth offer plenty going forward at home, Sunderland haven’t exactly spent 2019 battering teams on their travels. Since the turn of the year, Jack Ross’ men have certainly been tough to beat on the road, while their individual quality has carried them over the line at times, but they’ve been halted by some fairly average teams and have often posted some rather displeasing figures.
The Black Cats average just 1.25 goals for away from home in 2019, while they also average a rather measly 1.17 expected goals for. Add in the fact that they ended the regular campaign by losing away against both Fleetwood and Southend, both of whom scored twice, and it’s easy to fear for the visitors ahead of Thursday’s second leg.
Given both the numbers produced by Portsmouth at home and the numbers produced by Sunderland on the road, ‘Portsmouth to Score Over 1.5 Goals’ stands out as a viable option with the betting the way that it is currently. Pompey have little choice but to adopt an attacking approach, while their previous efforts at this venue suggest that the chance of such an approach yielding a couple of goals is slightly greater than the current prices suggest.
It may be a concern for Sunderland fans that their team lost 3-1 away to Pompey just before Christmas, but they will also feel their turn is due having been beaten on penalties by Kenny Jackett’s side in the Checkatrade Trophy final.
Portsmouth finished three points ahead of the Black Cats in the final league table and there has not been much between the clubs all season.
Another tight affair looks on the cards here and that should suit Sunderland, who are backed to hang on to their aggregate advantage and progress to a Wembley showdown with either Doncaster or, more probably, Charlton.