Guinea-Bissau suffered another defeat on Tuesday, which has left them facing an uphill battle to make the next round. They’re already the outsiders ahead of this meeting with Benin, never mind their final group game against Ghana. It’s a difficult group for them, so we could see them struggling to make much of an impact. While they play an attractive, passing game Guinea-Bissau look stretched competing at this level.
Algeria are still basking in the glow of their 1-0 win over Senegal in the previous round. That was a clash between two of the tournament favourites, so to see off their rivals in that fashion has to bode well for Algeria. The Group C leaders have won this tournament just once – back as hosts in 1990. That was part of a golden run for them which included five runs to the semis in six appearances at this competition. Since then, they’ve made the finals just one in almost 30 years.
Algeria will continue their bid for glory in the next round, but it’s likely to go on hold here. With top spot wrapped up, they have nothing to play for. That means resting the strongest side, which we expect to cost them going forward. Algeria have recorded 2-0 and 1-0 wins so far, which wouldn’t have gone quite so well had they left out their first choice forward options. Will that cause them problems against Tanzania this week?
The outsiders haven’t got much by the way of attacking force themselves. They lost 2-0 to Senegal in their opener, failing to score in any of their away qualifying matches. Algeria have back to back wins to nil behind them – so they should hold off this shy Tanzania attack – but with little motivation to win the game we see Algeria holding back. Under 2.5 goals is our tip, which has landed in six of Algeria’s last seven matches. After a remarkably low-scoring tournament so far, going against goals seems like a smart move.