Sevilla - Real Valladolid - Tips by users and experts on football, 25 November 2018: Spain. La Liga

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Squad

Sevilla Win • 1.4

Everything is simple here. The main rivals played a draw, Real Madrid succumb to defeat in Eibar, Alaves lost points. This is a great opportunity to head the table. I think Sevilla will win.
Valladolid have only lost 1 of their last 8 league matches, a 2-0 defeat to Real Madrid. Impressive 1-0 away wins at Betis and Villarreal should serve as warning to Sevilla that this won’t necessarily be easy.
But statistics on the side of Seville. Sevilla have won their last 4 home matches. Valladolid have failed to score in their last two La Liga outings, with their defensive unit compromised slightly by some injury problems.

Under 3 Goals • 1.89

Sevilla may well have to be really patient again here. Valladolid are very solid at the back with just 0.75 goals per game conceded this term. Only Atletico Madrid can better that and that’s an outstanding record for a newly promoted side to have after 12 games. An away clean sheet ratio of 67% is also testament to their defensive qualities. 83% of their league games have seen under 2.5 goals scored and backing a repeat here could be worth a punt generous odds given that.
Sevilla have been scoring freely overall but 2 of their last 4 competitive outings have ended 0-0 so it’s not as though every game involving them has been a goal-fest.
Total Under 3.5 Goals looks to offer great value here and it’s a bet that has landed in 4 of their last 5 at home in all competitions. It’s also worth noting that none of their home league games this term have produced over 3.5 goals.
There have been under 2.5 goals scored in Real Valladolid's last 6 games.

xG (Real Valladolid): 10,9. This is almost the highest level.
I expect Seville to win 1-0 or 2-0.