Borussia Dortmund - Tottenham Hotspur - Tips by users and experts on football, 5 March 2019: UEFA Champions League

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Over 2.5 Goals • 1.58

Both of these teams had excellent first halves of the season but have struggled in 2019. Borussia Dortmund have seen their points lead at the top of the Bundesliga wiped out, while Tottenham's Premier League title challenge is all but over. Dortmund have it all to do in the Champions League though, losing 3-0 at Wembley. They could have done with an away goal in the first leg and if Tottenham can score one on Tuesday, Dortmund will have to score five times in 90 minutes. Friday saw them lose 2-1 at Augsburg and they only lead Bayern Munich on goal difference now. Only one of their last seven league and cup games have been won and only twice in the last 14 have they kept a clean sheet.
Tottenham haven't won any of their three games since the first leg. They lost away to both Burnley and Chelsea and then drew 1-1 with Arsenal at the weekend. That could easily have been another loss if Arsenal hadn't missed a late penalty. Spurs are still third in the Premier League but 10 points off the top at time of writing (11 if Liverpool beat Everton on Sunday). Their away form in the Champions League is a worry with no wins in the last four but they have won at Dortmund previously in 2017 and won their last three games against the Germans. The tip here is for over 2.5 goals to be scored in what should be an open game as the home side try to get back into the tie.

Borussia Dortmund Win • 2

The hosts lost out at Augsburg at the weekend, which has left them marginally clear at the top. They have a crucial month ahead, before starting April with a clash against Bayern. Given the huge opportunity they have domestically this season, it might be in Dortmund’s best interests not to progress here. However, they come into this game aiming to turn around their heavy defeat at Wembley, although the history books aren’t exactly in their favour ahead of this clash.
The issue for Spurs here is that they have a poor record on the road in this competition. Their last away win in the Champions League came at Dortmund in November 2017, when they faced a very different BVB under Peter Bosz. That’s one of just two away wins for Spurs in nine games in this competition. Now they’re going up against a side who have won 83% of their home games in the Bundesliga, including all of their key clashes with their fellow top six teams.

Borussia Dortmund Win • 2

Spurs can’t exactly say the same. They have lost three of five trips to the top eight, which doesn’t include future clashes at Man City and Liverpool. They come into this game on the back of four straight defeats on the road, losing their hopes of winning three trophies in that run. They come here nervy, with something to protect. Dortmund should get forward as they look to get back into the game, so I’m backing the hosts to claim a second leg win here.

Borussia Dortmund Win • 2

Three nil is not an unsurrmountable scoreline for Dortmund to overcome especially considering their excellent home record at the Westfalenstadien (16 wins from their last 20 home games) Spurs may well hold them off to progress to the next round but I do feel that Dortmund will win in the 90 minutes

Over 1.5 Goals • 1.156

Tottenham Hotspur lost 10 balls in all in the group stage. B***ssia Dortmund played well in the group stage, but they got 3 successive draws recently. So the game will be over 1.5 goals